Methodology
LISF standardizes how Lumenvest communicates signals across dashboards, reports, forecasts, and research. Each signal uses the same four-part structure so users can quickly understand what is changing, how meaningful it is, how reliable it is, and how long it may matter.
Example Signal
Direction
Tightening
Strength
Strong
Confidence
High
Horizon
Intermediate
Signal Structure
Improving
Conditions are getting better.
Deteriorating
Conditions are weakening.
Accelerating
The pace of change is increasing.
Decelerating
The pace of change is slowing.
Tightening
Supply, liquidity, or availability is becoming more constrained.
Loosening
Supply, liquidity, or availability is becoming less constrained.
Stable
Conditions are broadly unchanged.
Weak
Early or limited evidence.
Moderate
Meaningful evidence with directional consistency.
Strong
Broad evidence and high conviction.
Extreme
Exceptional conditions tied to major economic or market shifts.
Low Confidence
Supporting evidence is limited or mixed.
Moderate Confidence
Supporting evidence is generally consistent.
High Confidence
Evidence is broad, consistent, and well-confirmed.
Tactical
0-3 months
Intermediate
3-12 months
Strategic
1-5 years
Workflow
01
Economic, energy, commodity, weather, and market inputs.
02
Cleaned metrics, balances, curves, spreads, and trend measures.
03
Direction, strength, confidence, and horizon applied consistently.
04
Interpretation layers for risks, opportunities, and regimes.
05
Forward-looking frameworks for market and economic conditions.
Intelligence Modules
Growth, inflation, labor, rates, and fiscal context.
Natural gas, LNG, storage, production, and demand.
Supply-demand, curve shape, cycles, and volatility.
Scenario analysis, signal changes, and regime-shift alerts.
